ISSN 1000-3665 CN 11-2202/P

    重庆市巫溪县地质灾害全周期防御韧性评估

    Assessment of full-cycle defense resilience against geological hazards in Wuxi County, Chongqing Municipality, China

    • 摘要: 在全球气候变化与极端天气事件影响下,重庆市巫溪县山区城镇面临的地质灾害风险日趋复杂。同时,城乡发展受地形制约,承灾体脆弱性突出,灾害防治与国土空间开发矛盾突出。采用全周期地质灾害防御韧性评估方法,分析巫溪县乡镇灾前、灾中、灾后及综合防御韧性空间分布特征,提出国土空间布局优化建议。研究表明:(1)空间上,综合防御韧性呈现“南高北低”格局,柏杨街道最高(0.927),兰英乡最低(0.177);(2)灾前防御韧性“西高东低”,受自然本底条件主导;灾中应急可达性呈圈层递减,受公共服务设施布局影响;灾后恢复能力则与社会经济水平高度相关。基于全周期防灾减灾救灾视角,建议对东部北部低韧性区重点开展生态修复与坡体加固以提升灾前稳定性,完善西部等外围乡镇应急设施与交通网络以缩短灾中响应时间,通过专项政策扶持与县域资源统筹,夯实如兰英乡等经济薄弱乡镇的灾后恢复与发展基础,系统性提升巫溪县地质灾害综合防御能力。

       

      Abstract: Under the impacts of global climate change and increasingly frequent extreme weather events, Wuxi County, Chongqing Municipality, is facing growing complexity and uncertainty in geological hazard risks. Meanwhile, terrain-constrained urban–rural development has intensified the vulnerability of exposed elements, exacerbating conflicts between disaster prevention and territorial spatial development. A full-cycle geological hazard defense resilience assessment framework was established to evaluate the spatial distribution characteristics of pre-disaster prevention resilience, in-disaster response resilience, post-disaster recovery resilience, and overall defense resilience at the township level in Wuxi County. Based on the assessment results, optimization strategies for territorial spatial layout were proposed. The results indicate that: (1) Spatially, the overall defense resilience exhibits a “higher in the south and lower in the north” pattern, with Baiyang Subdistrict showing the highest resilience value (0.927) and Lanying Township the lowest (0.177); (2) Pre-disaster defense resilience demonstrates a “higher in the west and lower in the east” pattern, primarily dominated by natural background conditions; (3) In-disaster emergency accessibility shows a concentric attenuation pattern, largely influenced by the spatial distribution of public service facilities; (4) Post-disaster recovery capacity is highly correlated with local socioeconomic development levels. From a full-cycle perspective integrating disaster prevention, mitigation, and relief, it is recommended that ecological restoration and slope reinforcement be prioritized in low-resilience areas in the eastern and northern regions to enhance pre-disaster stability; emergency facilities and transportation networks in peripheral townships, particularly in the western region, should be improved to shorten in-disaster response time; and targeted policy support and county-level resource coordination should be strengthened to enhance post-disaster recovery and development capacity in economically disadvantaged townships such as Lanying. These measures will systematically improve the comprehensive geological hazard defense capacity of Wuxi County.

       

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