ISSN 1000-3665 CN 11-2202/P

    基于知识图谱的地下水污染场地风险管理智慧化决策模型

    Knowledge graph-based intelligent decision-making model for contaminated groundwater sites risk management

    • 摘要: 地下水污染场地的复杂性、污染的持久性与隐蔽性使得风险管理面临严峻挑战。为此,研究构建了基于知识图谱的地下水污染场地防控智慧化决策模型,并提出了一种集技术、经济、社会维度于一体的智慧化风险管理框架。通过整合污染场地风险管理技术库和案例库,构建具有语义推理能力的地下水污染场地知识图谱,并设计了结合知识图谱和随机森林算法的KG-RF(knowledge graph-random forest)智慧化决策模型,以精准推荐地下水污染场地风险管理方案。在模型训练阶段,KG-RF模型在已录入知识图谱的污染场地数据集上进行训练,并在测试集上达到了94.86%的准确率。在某地下水污染实例研究中,KG-RF模型基于水文地质条件、污染特征等关键指标,匹配历史案例并计算相似度,推荐双层可渗透反应屏障PRB(ZVI+颗粒活性炭和生物膜)作为最优管理方案,相似度最高(0.9278),在技术成熟度、适用性及成本周期等方面表现突出。研究结果表明,知识图谱在地下水污染场地风险管理中具有较高的应用潜力,有助于提升风险管理的智能化与精准化,同时为复杂环境问题的智慧化决策提供了新的方法和思路。

       

      Abstract: The complexity, persistence, and concealment of contamination in groundwater sites pose significant challenges to risk management. To address these challenges, this study develops a knowledge graph-based intelligent decision-making model for managing contaminated groundwater sites and proposes an intelligent risk management framework that integrates technical, economic, and social dimensions. By consolidating a risk management technology repository and a case study database for contaminated groundwater sites, a knowledge graph with semantic reasoning capabilities is constructed. Additionally, the KG-RF (Knowledge Graph - Random Forest) intelligent decision-making model is designed by integrating knowledge graphs with random forest algorithms to accurately recommend risk management solutions. During the model training phase, the KG-RF model was trained on a dataset of contaminated sites recorded in the knowledge graph and achieved 94.86% accuracy on the test set. A case study on a contaminated groundwater site demonstrates that the KG-RF model, based on key indicators such as hydrogeological conditions and pollutant characteristics, identifies and matches similar historical cases, calculates similarity scores, and recommends optimal risk management solutions. The results indicate that the dual-layer PRB (Permeable Reactive Barrier), consisting of ZVI (zero-valent iron), granular activated carbon, and biofilm, achieves the highest similarity score (0.9278). This technology excels in terms of technical maturity, applicability, and cost-effectiveness. The findings indicate that knowledge graphs have significant application potential in risk management for contaminated groundwater sites, contributing to the enhancement of intelligent and precise risk management. Additionally, they provide new methods and approaches for smart decision-making in complex environmental issues.

       

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